![]() Blockchain will be hyped, but succeed only in limited circumstances.ġ5. Bitcoin will fade away but leave a legacyġ4. Tools to fight cybercrime and attacks will further diminish privacy.ġ3. Most people will not demand or expect real privacy that war is already lost.ġ2. Governments will not tolerate anonymity.ġ1. But there will be no full size quantum computers capable of factoring RSA keys.ġ0. Research will still pour into quantum crypto and quantum computing, as the physics community is geared up to accept large amounts of government money.Ĩ. Elliptic curves will fall out of favour (there’s a very strange current situation with the NSA moving away from it with no explanation).ħ. Improved factoring and DL algorithns will be found requiring key sizes beyond 2048 (he feels it will not be a fully polynomial algorithm 4096 should be OK).Ħ. RC4 and SHA-1 will be phased out while AES and SHA-2/3 will remain secure (he expects a SHA-1 collision within the year)ĥ. Cyber warfare will be the norm rather than the exception in conflicts.Ĥ. ![]() The Internet of Things will be a security disaster.ģ. Cybersecurity is terrible, and will get worse.Ģ. Adi Shamir makes 15 predictions for the next 15 years in his anniversary keynote " Financial Cryptography: Past, Present, and Future" at Financial Cryptography 2016 ( below bullets are copied from Ross Andreson's blog post):ġ. ![]()
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